gm

#28Prediction

Decentralized S&P 500 price prediction where miners forecast at future timestamps using open-source models.

GitHub

Price

$0.016808-2.05%

24h

7d Change

+1.92%

Market Cap

$15.07M

Emission

Miners

Validators

Competitor Mapping

Decentralized

Market Cap

$15.07M

TAM

$35.00B

Model

Token-incentivized

Team

Decentralized miners

Bloomberg + Refinitiv

Private

Market Cap

Private

TAM

$35.00B

Model

Revenue-driven

Team

Enterprise

Open, verifiable prediction market for S&P 500. Bloomberg charges $24K/year; all models must be open-sourced on HuggingFace.

Implied Valuation

If gm captures a share of Bloomberg + Refinitiv's $35.00B TAM

Bear - 0.1% TAM

$35.00M

implied valuation

+132.25%

vs $15.07M current

Base case

Base - 1% TAM

$350.00M

implied valuation

+2222.52%

vs $15.07M current

Bull - 5% TAM

$1.75B

implied valuation

+11512.61%

vs $15.07M current

Scenarios illustrate potential scale relative to the traditional market. Actual outcomes depend on adoption, tokenomics, and competitive dynamics.

Thesis

Integrates Bittensor into financial markets. S&P 500 is perfect starting point. Backed by Foundry, leading Bitcoin mining company.

Risk

Financial prediction is unreliable; institutional adoption requires regulatory compliance decentralized networks struggle with.